AVs won’t derail truckers yet: report

Due to driver shortages, truck drivers largely won't be displaced in the next 10 years

November 6, 2018
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From the October 2018 print edition

Despite concerns that automated vehicles will displace truck drivers, only a modest number of truck driver jobs, if any, will be affected, according to a new report commissioned by the American Center for Mobility, led by Michigan State University.

While large numbers of AVs won’t deploy until the late 2020s, some displacement of passenger car-based driving jobs could occur then, mainly among taxis, according to the researchers. Due to truck driver shortages, and the belief that automation will support truck drivers instead of replacing them, truck drivers aren’t likely to be displaced in large numbers during the next 10 years the study covered.